Weather Bulletin

WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL STORM JERRY ALERT STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
11:10 AM ECT WED, SEP 18, 2019

THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

JERRY STRENGTHENING OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN…

AT 11AM/1500Z, THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 49.2 WEST OR ABOUT 855 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND 1041 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

TROPICAL STORM JERRY IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MILES PER HOUR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE SYSTEM WILL BE NEAR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ON FRIDAY AND THE NORTHERN BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. JERRY IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY LATE THURSDAY, WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH ANTICIPATED ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 45  MILES FROM THE CENTRE.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB OR 29.59 INCHES.

AT THIS TIME, NO SPECIFIC ACTION IS REQUIRED OF RESIDENTS IN THE LEEWARD AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS, OTHER THAN TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM, REVIEW HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS PLANS AND BE PREPARED TO ACT AS ANY FURTHER WESTWARD MOTION COULD BRING THE CORE OF THE SYSTEM CLOSER TO THE ISLANDS.

NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER, THESE MAY BECOME NECESSARY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALL RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE MOVEMENT OF JERRY.THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT 5 PM ECT.

FORECASTER
LORNE SALMON

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