TROPICAL ADVISORY #7 (TS DORIAN)

TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
11:10 AM ECT TUE, AUG 27, 2019

THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

AT 1100 AM ECT (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORIAN
WAS LOCATED BY DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNISANCE
AIRCRAFT AND MARTINIQUE RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH,
LONGITUDE 61.8 WEST OR ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTH-SOUTH EAST OF
ST. KITTS & NEVIS WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH.

DORIAN CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR
13 MPH (20 KM/H) AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.

THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK SUGGESTS THAT THE CENTER OF
DORIAN WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN AND NORTH EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
DORIAN IS FORECAST TO PASS A SAFE DISTANCE TO THE SOUTHWEST
OF THE LEEWARDS AND BVI ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
RESPECTIVELY; THEREFORE, NO SIGNIFICANT WIND IMPACTS ARE
EXPECTED OVER THESE ISLANDS; IT SHOULD BE NOTED, HOWEVER,
THAT ANY SIGNIFICANT SHIFT TO THE NORTH COULD BRING DORIAN

CLOSER TO THE BVI’S; HENCE, RESIDENTS IN THESE ISLANDS IN
PARTICULAR ARE ADVISED TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM AND BE PREPARED TO ACT IF NECESSARY.

IT IS POSSIBLE THAT OUTER RAIN BANDS OF DORIAN COULD PRODUCE
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE LEEWARDS
AND BVI ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY CONDITIONS MAINLY IN SHOWERS
BEGINNING TOMORROW AFTERNOON BUT NO STORM WATCHES OR
WARNINGS ARE REQUIRED FOR THESE ISLANDS AT THIS TIME.

RESIDENTS OF THE LEEWARDS AND MORE-SO THE BVI ARE ADVISED TO
CONTINUE MONITORING THE PROGRESS OF DORIAN UNTIL IT CLEARS
THE AREA.

 

FORECASTER

LETITIA HUMPHREYS

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