TROPICAL ADVISORY #6 (TS DORIAN)

TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
5:00 AM ECT TUE, AUG 27, 2019

THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

AT 500 AM ECT (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORIAN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 60.7 WEST;
OR ABOUT 295 MILES SOUTH-SOUTH EAST OF ST. KITTS & NEVIS, OR
ABOUT 256 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARDS AND 370
MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BVI WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF
50 MPH.

DORIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH (20
KM/H) AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ON
WEDNESDAY.

THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK SUGGESTS THAT THE CENTER OF
DORIAN WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND
INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS.

DORIAN IS FORECAST TO PASS A SAFE DISTANCE TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF THE LEEWARDS AND BVI ON TUESDAY AND  WEDNESDAY RESPECTIVELY; THEREFORE, NO SIGNIFICANT WIND
IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED OVER THESE ISLANDS; IT SHOULD BE
NOTED, HOWEVER, THAT ANY SIGNIFICANT SHIFT TO THE NORTH
COULD BRING DORIAN CLOSER TO THE BVI’S; HENCE, RESIDENTS IN
THESE ISLANDS IN PARTICULAR ARE ADVISED TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AND BE PREPARED TO
ACT IF NECESSARY.

IT IS POSSIBLE THAT OUTER RAIN BANDS OF DORIAN COULD PRODUCE
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE LEEWARDS AND BVI
ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY CONDITIONS MAINLY IN SHOWERS
BEGINNING TOMORROW AFTERNOON BUT NO STORM WATCHES OR
WARNINGS ARE REQUIRED FOR THESE ISLANDS AT THIS TIME.

RESIDENTS OF THE LEEWARDS AND MORE-SO THE BVI ARE ADVISED TO
CONTINUE MONITORING THE PROGRESS OF DORIAN UNTIL IT CLEARS
THE AREA.

 

FORECASTER

ORVIN PAIGE

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